Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$1.47K
Polymarket Trader
lilychen96301
0x2bf4200f223c8581870b59dec93409dff03407c0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $521.73
- Realized PnL
- $223.41
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $138.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $61.02
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$9.52
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $193.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $38.6
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $99.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- User PnL
- $13.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.08
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.52
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.26
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.79
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will White House post 100-119 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.93
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 52% 20 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?Yes 86% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No 84% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?No 85% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 78% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 77.3% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 45% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 299.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.2% 182.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 76.3% 341 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 77.8% 230 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 78.1% 381.76 shares