Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $46.01
- Potential payout
- $47.87
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
Larkwoodv
0x2bfc57daa07d07b4ea162805595d3833fc67011f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.01
- Realized PnL
- $18.01
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Arsenal FC position
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 94% 47.87 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 64% 78.13 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.5% 52.1 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96% 52.1 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 9.37 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 96% 9.38 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 2.1% 460 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 5% 460 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 24.59 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 24.6 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 92.9% 24.7 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No 93.1% 24.7 shares