Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $70.74
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $44.7
Polymarket Trader
0x2bfe...cd8d
0x2bfe419688ad84ea91d3d896463795dab877cd8d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $70.74
- Realized PnL
- -$0.42
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$13.12
Yes position
Will Trent Williams win the NFL Protector of the Year?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jacob Elordi (Frankenstein) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 82.6% 2 shares
- Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 60% 8 shares
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?Yes 82% 8 shares
- Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?Yes 82% 8 shares
- Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2025?No 95% 47.36 shares
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 88.4% 47.41 shares
- Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes 11.4% 47.41 shares
- Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?Yes 1.3% 47.69 shares
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 99.7% 2 shares
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 99.5% 2 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 90.2% 51 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 9.9% 51 shares