Polymarket Trader

edegen

@elephantdegen

0x2bfecc8359157a25329aef77c14241dc5766caf6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.32
Realized PnL: -$45.2
Win rate: 58.8%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $39.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $210.88
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $11.63

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $109.85
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $26.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $53.8
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $14.84
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $65.16
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.42
Potential profit: $30.42
User PnL: -$14.8

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$13.52

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.71
Potential profit: $7.71
User PnL: -$4.78

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Yes position

Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

No position

Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Yes position

Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-09-19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-09-28?

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Göztepe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-09-19?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 32.9%
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: -$14.44

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 21.1% 200 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Yes 54% 18.52 shares
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 49.1% 500 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 52% 500 shares
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?

Yes 84.8% 40 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 19% 25 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Yes 52% 26 shares
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-25?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10PM ET

Up 23% 5 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?

Yes 49% 20 shares