Polymarket Trader

ensco

0x2c0dcae06c4895c579c1e7b5d32dbb1af1f2045f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $795.27
Realized PnL: $7.12K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.54K
Potential profit: $21.54K
User PnL: -$2.59K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$1.14K

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $100.11
Potential payout: $882
Potential profit: $781.89
Multiplier: 8.81x
User PnL: -$48.45

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $132.74
Potential payout: $881.99
Potential profit: $749.25
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: $52.3

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.8%
Current value: $562.42
Potential payout: $881.54
Potential profit: $319.12
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $59.43

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11K

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.2

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.42

No position

Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.23

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.52

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.5

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $48.26

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

No position

Meteora FDV above $750M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

No position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase September 16-22?

Ends Sep 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $288 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Yes 12.4% 200 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 56.4% 200 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 8.6% 59.97 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 9.3% 500 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 61.6% 167 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 12% 4,825.95 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 2,413 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 12% 240.34 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 85% 4,652 shares
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

No 12% 5,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Yes 84% 348.09 shares
Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?

No 97.7% 100 shares