Yes position
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $17.93
- Potential payout
- $103.41
- Potential profit
- $85.48
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $16.1
Polymarket Trader
timxiaohai
0x2c12fa0b2625d5c15d5bb4cac8544a5142c246e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.93
- Realized PnL
- -$32.13
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.29
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.87
No position
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETUp 2% 99.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown 1% 199.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown 1% 199.99 shares
- Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?No 0.6% 800.71 shares
- Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes 0.2% 484.44 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 244.86 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 269.6 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 266 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 272.81 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 254 shares
- Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No 1% 189 shares
- Will there be at least 20 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?No 1% 242 shares