No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61K
- Potential profit
- $61K
- User PnL
- -$61
Polymarket Trader
0x2c263B063B467086af2469ed0404cab55Ab9A23C-1779569091022
0x2c263b063b467086af2469ed0404cab55ab9a23c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.18K
- Realized PnL
- $3.39K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $110.47
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$589.53
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $460.53
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.22K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$239.47
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.37K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $20.61
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $202.09
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $82.67
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $90.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $145.83
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.39
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $81.52
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.57
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.65
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $36.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$32.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$185.5
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$519.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 61,000 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 87% 70 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 85.4% 1,251.02 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 8.9% 3,370.79 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 82% 1,662 shares
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 83.9% 1,662 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85.5% 589.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 84.2% 310.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 83.9% 16 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 3,684.21 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 13.9% 5,021.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 73% 1,041.67 shares