No position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $43.13
- Potential payout
- $45.16
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Polymarket Trader
Ravenwoodre
0x2c30679bcac0db9b965bdb8508c4b003fdf6e5ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.13
- Realized PnL
- $17.31
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 93% 45.16 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 82.9% 45.84 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 92.9% 41.26 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 94.5% 41.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 97.3% 42.39 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 42.39 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 92.2% 38.7 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.6% 38.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.5% 43.01 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93% 43.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No 77% 26.38 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 93% 5.38 shares