No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $38.61
- Potential payout
- $54
- Potential profit
- $15.39
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $10.49
Polymarket Trader
0x2c39...6af4
0x2c39d41bedb49e0bbc4a46a624a82e441e6e6af4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.69
- Realized PnL
- -$14.75
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $32.69
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $11.83
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $10.93
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $7.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.08
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $6.41
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.08
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 6.9% 20 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 16% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 84.1% 10 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 67% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 7.7% 15 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 95.7% 6 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No 79% 8 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.9% 12 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?Yes 9.1% 20 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 5 shares