N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NY-12 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $137.52
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Polymarket Trader
ultraplayz
0x2c3b844c6b01cbc62001ba13a6a2572c7de73ad8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.09K
- Realized PnL
- $6.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $103.67
- Potential payout
- $111
- Potential profit
- $7.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $50.5
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $50.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $21.39
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $98.87
- Potential payout
- $100.17
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $96.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $17.8
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Another Elon baby by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.15
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $97.1
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $98.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $4.04
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$37
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $6.45
No position
MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- User PnL
- $13.77
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $99.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$32.71
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $99.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$36.64
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $93.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.84K
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.97
No position
Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.94
No position
Will DOGE audit Fort Knox before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.24
Yes position
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.99
No position
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.55
No position
Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.4
No position
Will Brian Armstrong say "Perpetual Futures" or "Perp" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.6
No position
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.33
No position
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.07
No position
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.5
No position
Will Nike say "Retailer" during earnings call?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.25
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
Seahawks position
Colts vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.76
No position
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.87
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.48
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.07
No position
Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.61
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
No position
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?No 73.4% 98.94 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No 92% 100 shares
- Eric Swalwell charged by May 31?No 84% 100 shares
- Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No 37% 100 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No 69% 100 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No 79.1% 100 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 91% 100 shares
- Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No 95% 100 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?No 55% 41.35 shares
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes 73.2% 93.83 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No 32.7% 100 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by April 30, 2026?No 41% 97.64 shares