Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $161
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
YC14
@0xl004
0x2c45c4a2a175f3cd1a000923e82dce187d4f014b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.5
- Realized PnL
- $141.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $89.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Pavel Kotov position
Gwangju: Pavel Kotov vs Mikhail Kukushkin
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.29
- Potential profit
- $4.29
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.07
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.55
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.58
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.3% 210.02 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 200 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 200 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 46% 103.83 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 24% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETDown 14% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETDown 40% 2.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETUp 4% 25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETUp 3% 33.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ETUp 6% 16.67 shares