Y
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $400.37
- Potential payout
- $473.81
- Potential profit
- $73.44
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $68.7
Polymarket Trader
bclaobai
@bclaobai
0x2c48ef5fc66c8a7f9319ed8663d8469b84a403b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $400.37
- Realized PnL
- $1.25K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.67
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $233.44
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.17
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.79
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.51
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.73
Yes position
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.36
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.36
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.22
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.25
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.96
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.77
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Yes position
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.8% 307.63 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99% 90 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 97.9% 397.64 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 82% 473.46 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 82.8% 473.47 shares
- Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 98.4% 391.97 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 66.5% 539.94 shares
- Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 99.3% 26.66 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 79% 539.94 shares
- Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 75.6% 596.83 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 68.1% 331.03 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 69% 302.03 shares