Polymarket Trader

0x2c4a...ec25

0x2c4a6da8fb88d4c4de089d4e581468d46e13ec25

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $99.1
Realized PnL: $594.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.82
Potential profit: $190.82
User PnL: -$97.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $180
User PnL: -$90

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $99.1
Potential payout: $110.11
Potential profit: $11.01
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $37.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.34
Potential profit: $94.34
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.95
Potential profit: $83.95
User PnL: -$68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.16
Potential profit: $55.16
User PnL: -$35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.98
Potential profit: $50.98
User PnL: -$26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.7
Potential profit: $40.7
User PnL: -$20.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.19
Potential profit: $35.19
User PnL: -$19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.34
Potential profit: $26.34
User PnL: -$18.43

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.28
Potential profit: $19.28
User PnL: -$9.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $7.94
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.22

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.17

Up position

XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.08

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.57

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.76

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.65

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.11

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.31

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 56% 110.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Up 63.5% 55.16 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Up 51.5% 40.7 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 8% 29.62 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Up 54% 29.63 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 99% 16.41 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Up 67% 16.42 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 99% 31.5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Down 73% 31.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 99% 35.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 73% 35.62 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Up 93.8% 32.89 shares