No position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $250.09
- Potential payout
- $253
- Potential profit
- $2.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Polymarket Trader
StephanieWoods6912
@CryptoP75151637
0x2c57b7f3e9339a6802c58b1f4d1d1a279631c2e0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $250.09
- Realized PnL
- $1.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $253
- Potential profit
- $253
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will a Millennium Prize Problem be solved before the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.09
- Potential profit
- $198.09
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Yes position
Will NFT #1990 win the Based trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $165
- User PnL
- -$4.13
N
No position
Will "Footballer" be said during the World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$14.24
No position
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$88.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147
- Potential profit
- $147
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $131
- User PnL
- -$4.06
No position
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 93m?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Brex IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108
- Potential profit
- $108
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $91
- User PnL
- -$1.82
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$34.4
Yes position
Vanta IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 28–29%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $68
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$44.02
Yes position
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $51
- User PnL
- -$35.19
No position
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $45
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $300k in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $39
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $33
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 12+ years in prison?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will November 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $32
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $190.19
Yes position
Will Trump say "Sarah" or "Beckstrom" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.99
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.6
Yes position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83
No position
Will Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.76
No position
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.41
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.87
No position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.34
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.62x
- User PnL
- $64.51
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.72
No position
Will Orwell: 2+2=5 be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.77
Yes position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $58.76
Yes position
Will Taiki Maeda win the Orderly trading competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.62
No position
CBB mindshare all time high by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.28
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.24
Yes position
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.62
Yes position
Will Steve Cohen and Seminole Hard Rock Entertainment receive a license for Metropolitan Park casino in Queens?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.13
No position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $31.67
No position
Will Put Your Soul on Your Hand and Walk be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.34
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 7+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.4
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.84
No position
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.23
Yes position
Celonis IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $19.62
No position
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 83% 411 shares
- Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No 17% 43 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 72% 184 shares
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No 63% 40 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 70% 115 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 70% 299 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 32% 7 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No 34% 7 shares
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No 63% 130 shares
- Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No 64% 138 shares
- Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No 26% 12 shares
- Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 29% 57 shares