No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $45.44K
- Potential payout
- $47.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.88K
Polymarket Trader
mr-green-tea
0x2c6919914ea8c86197662aff8be7aff1b8da1019
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.29K
- Realized PnL
- $10.03K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $18.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.24K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $451.34
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.92K
- Potential payout
- $8.65K
- Potential profit
- $735.59
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $97.77
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.92K
- Potential payout
- $7.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $185.66
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $6.07K
- Potential payout
- $6.11K
- Potential profit
- $36.66
- User PnL
- $565.43
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.67K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- User PnL
- $201.72
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3K
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $315.4
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.05K
- Potential payout
- $3.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $2.81K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 5?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $250.85
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$597.54
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$479
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $61.98
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$437.53
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.56K
- Potential payout
- $1.57K
- Potential profit
- $10.19
- User PnL
- $86.28
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$668.82
Yes position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$70.26
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $18.15
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $97.39
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$560
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
No position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$940
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Russia announces air truce by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.83
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $765.34
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.33
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.79
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $611
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.24
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.07
No position
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.91
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.1
No position
Will Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.49
No position
Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.89
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.45
No position
Russia announces air truce by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 1,059 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 92% 700 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 92.2% 582.21 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 81% 1,500 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 4,000 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 92% 299.92 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 90% 24 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 89% 11 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.6% 2,000 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 768.44 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 90.6% 13.1 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 84% 6.01 shares