Polymarket Trader

0x2c6a243B49ba3540775C2A2aBc25A1111132D012-1764688470721

0x2c6a243b49ba3540775c2a2abc25a1111132d012

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205.3
Realized PnL: $10.05
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $48.47
Potential payout: $151.47
Potential profit: $103
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $8.47

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $36.78
Potential payout: $133.73
Potential profit: $96.96
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $16.78

No position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $54.53
Potential payout: $77.35
Potential profit: $22.82
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $19.77
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $26.74
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $37.72
Potential payout: $44.12
Potential profit: $6.4
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $8.04
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $27.68
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.26
Potential profit: $9.26
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $5.95
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Powell say "Stock Market" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.07
Potential profit: $2.07
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.78
Potential profit: $1.78
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $320?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Canada position

Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

No position

Will Powell say "Not our job" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.07

Alcaraz position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Maduro out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Warsh say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?

Yes 15% 133.73 shares
Will Warsh say "Trend" during June Press Conference?

Yes 43% 46.51 shares
Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Yes 68% 44.12 shares
Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?

Yes 64.6% 77.35 shares
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?

Yes 28% 35.71 shares
Will Warsh say "I Don't Know" during June Press Conference?

Yes 26.4% 151.47 shares
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 78% 128.21 shares
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 55% 9.09 shares
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Canada 78% 5.13 shares
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

No 79% 1.27 shares
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

No 94% 1.44 shares