Polymarket Trader

tanwu

@gingercigin

0x2c6a8c054c7b3a431978c29bf445b82c67471637

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $113.38
Realized PnL: $22.17
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $405 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $590 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $96.34
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $17.04
Potential payout: $17.52
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15

No position

Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $4.04

Yes position

Will Sandro Parcaroli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $412.50 Week of June 22 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Supah Hot position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 62%
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $0

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $12.5B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.11

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Menery position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June?

Yes 1.4% 84.41 shares
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

No 24% 18.62 shares
Will Gianluca Tittarelli win the 2026 Macerata mayoral election?

Yes 11% 20 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.5% 102 shares
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?

No 99.9% 94.87 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 22?

No 99.9% 9.68 shares
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Menery 21% 11.65 shares
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Menery 27% 8.35 shares
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery

Menery 28.3% 20 shares
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire

Supah Hot 78% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 18?

No 99.9% 108.66 shares