Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.8K
- User PnL
- -$25.58
Polymarket Trader
b..fly
0x2c6beef88b52b92b83f5bc604daa257fb0b1adce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690
- Realized PnL
- $609.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.41K
- User PnL
- -$221.36
Yes position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$217.91
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.2K
- User PnL
- -$384
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $104
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$216
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$265.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$280
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $528
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $342
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $598.4K
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $780
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $764.99
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $490
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $478.99
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $478
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $472
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.06
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Nuggets
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.99
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.04
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48
Lakers position
Mavericks vs. Lakers
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.99
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will MrBeast's robot race video get between 65 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.97
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
No position
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be <14m square kilometers?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?No 98.8% 121.11 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes 98% 846.59 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes 95.9% 711.57 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes 94.8% 30 shares
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes 94.9% 55.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 18% 1,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 17% 500 shares
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?Yes 15.3% 98.13 shares
- Crude Oil all time high by March 31?No 83% 12.24 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 26% 256.46 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 80% 150 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes 1.5% 5,636.5 shares