No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $7.78K
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $497.77
Polymarket Trader
0x2c6f...deee
0x2c6fe612dc43cc67676d2efc1e5eed50cbc1deee
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.05K
- Realized PnL
- $13.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $720.89
- Potential payout
- $7.59K
- Potential profit
- $6.87K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.08K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $595.98
- Potential payout
- $3.61K
- Potential profit
- $3.02K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$125.16
Yes position
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Ends Oct 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $231.4
- Potential payout
- $3.56K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$494.62
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $498.64
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $293.37
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $48.99
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$206.24
Yes position
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $6.82
- Potential payout
- $620
- Potential profit
- $613.18
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$57.34
Yes position
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $18.93
- Potential payout
- $378.69
- Potential profit
- $359.76
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.66
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $163.96
- Potential payout
- $269
- Potential profit
- $105.04
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $62.85
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $58.77
- Potential payout
- $161
- Potential profit
- $102.24
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $19.1
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $98.8
- Potential payout
- $152
- Potential profit
- $53.2
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $76.16
- Potential payout
- $136
- Potential profit
- $59.84
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
N
No position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $49.95
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $40.05
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will Michael Blake be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $16
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.53
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $24.53
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $20.48
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $6.52
Yes position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $16.92
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $5.08
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.93
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $2.01
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 6.10x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
UMBC Retrievers position
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $964.08
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $829.77
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $810.26
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $744.9
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $712.57
Texas Longhorns position
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $694.99
Yes position
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $688.52
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $632.12
No position
Will Don Tracy be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $508.96
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $445.34
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $444.21
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $420.27
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $397.18
Yes position
Will Pakistan win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $383.93
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $370.39
Red Wings position
Flyers vs. Red Wings
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $368
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $359.3
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Rangers
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.02
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.65
Nets position
Wizards vs. Nets
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.94
Ducks position
Oilers vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.89
Yes position
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $299.76
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 50 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70.4% 1,491.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 88% 999 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 69% 1,472 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 69% 27 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 18% 32 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 17% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 523.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 68% 665 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 68% 150 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 68% 16 shares