No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $162.5
- Potential payout
- $207
- Potential profit
- $44.5
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Polymarket Trader
Emily15-967
0x2c797b03273feff0f10bd0191be63e312a74a630
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.5
- Realized PnL
- $118.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $37.29
N
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $18.9
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.44
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.47
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $5.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.52
Yes position
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Ends Dec 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will George Russell win the 2025 China Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Bayern Munich position
Will Bayern Munich or Bayer Leverkusen advance in the UCL Round of 16?
Ends Mar 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 78% 156 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 48% 173 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 88% 119 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 95.9% 196 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 352 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 10.74 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 86% 62 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 243 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 224.12 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes 13% 617 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes 5.9% 86.32 shares