Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $109.36
- Potential payout
- $174.97
- Potential profit
- $65.61
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Polymarket Trader
0x2CA967bA8D12761574Db8aB0126348196786FE9c-1729388487783
0x2ca967ba8d12761574db8ab0126348196786fe9c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $524.55
- Realized PnL
- $3.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $123.17
- Potential payout
- $144.06
- Potential profit
- $20.89
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $132.58
- Potential payout
- $134.47
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Current value
- $117.49
- Potential payout
- $132.46
- Potential profit
- $14.97
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 60°F or higher on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.99
- Potential profit
- $115.99
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.17
- Potential profit
- $36.17
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $35.84
- Potential profit
- $31.79
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.32
- Potential profit
- $28.32
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $0.62
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $16.25
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $745.42
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $519.58
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $426.77
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $389.53
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $251.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.94
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $98.61
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $60.16
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $45
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $44.43
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $38.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.6% 30 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.1% 54.84 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 95.2% 70 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 86.5% 70 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 86.5% 25 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 86.7% 57.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.6% 22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 32 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 89.6% 102 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.3% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 11.7% 79 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 5.7% 75.79 shares