Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $46.76
- Potential payout
- $78.59
- Potential profit
- $31.83
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $10.09
Polymarket Trader
0x2CAd814FB1ACD284737B231C65B4F897F8a0c773-1783303931078
0x2cad814fb1acd284737b231c65b4f897f8a0c773
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $81.29
- Realized PnL
- $14.66
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $34.53
- Potential payout
- $37.76
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $1.23
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETDown 90% 1.11 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 88% 1.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETUp 92% 1.09 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETUp 87% 1.15 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp 70% 1.43 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETUp 70% 1.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ETDown 79% 1.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETDown 82% 1.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp 84% 1.19 shares