Polymarket Trader

Guestu

@0xguestu

0x2cb2080a47fc87b21d40c02e6af700537b030896

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.11
Realized PnL: $214
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $86.96
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.57
Potential profit: $56.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.81
Potential profit: $29.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $20.63
Potential profit: $17.73
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.99
Potential profit: $17.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.21
Potential profit: $16.21
User PnL: -$10

No position

Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.14
Potential profit: $15.14
User PnL: -$3.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $10.71
Potential payout: $14.38
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $2.64

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $9.89
Potential payout: $11.24
Potential profit: $1.35
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $9.71
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $8.33
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $6.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $4.8
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

No position

Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $3.34
User PnL: -$2.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33
Potential profit: $3.33
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tom Malinowski be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.42

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.23

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.92

Pakistan position

International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.48

Zimbabwe position

T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.87

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9.6% 20.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 94.4% 2.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 93.3% 1.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 64% 14.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

No 89.7% 11.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 98.4% 13.87 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 89% 11.24 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 92% 10.87 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 22% 18.51 shares
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 14.28 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 37.9% 20.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 95% 13.87 shares