Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $60.49
- Potential payout
- $157.11
- Potential profit
- $96.62
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Polymarket Trader
0x2cbf...05b8
0x2cbf780e4c27dce756f4e9a7ab7aa0d380b105b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $86.14
- Realized PnL
- -$148.52
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $25.66
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $105.92
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Habs position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.18
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.52
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.68
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.61
Habs position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.91
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.78
76ers position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.52
No position
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Y
Yes position
Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.9
Derrick Lewis position
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Wolves position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.22
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.87
Ducks position
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39.85
Yes position
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Alex Pereira position
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$104.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 13.9% 539.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 19% 131.58 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 50% 100 shares
- Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 88.53 shares
- Will Scotland finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 17.6% 85 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)Derrick Lewis 22% 90.91 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 53.5% 193 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 53% 65.4 shares
- Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes 18.6% 214.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 49% 40.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 44% 77.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 47% 138.3 shares