Polymarket Trader

martys

0x2cc798c8eef1fae6266c5cda2bf2b607c5372385

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.71K
Realized PnL: $2.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$239.98

Yes position

Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $296.04
Potential payout: $9.71K
Potential profit: $9.41K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$211.23

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $322.45
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$214.24

Yes position

Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $330.91
Potential payout: $7.35K
Potential profit: $7.02K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$46.66

Yes position

Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $25.11
Potential payout: $3.86K
Potential profit: $3.84K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$12.93

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $60.17
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$45.42

No position

Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $73.5
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$44.9

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $114.62
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$25.23

Yes position

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $30.31
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: -$11.43

Yes position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $1.57K
User PnL: -$149.47

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $41.09
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.28K
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$20.74

Yes position

Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $28.49
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$38.52

Yes position

Will Cristian Roldan be in the starting 11 for the USA's first 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage match?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Jordan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $45.87
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.1K
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$38.94

Yes position

Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $11.43
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$40.96

Yes position

Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $100.57
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$53.42

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $986.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$50.86

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $21.41
Potential payout: $973.07
Potential profit: $951.66
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$35.12

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $68
Potential payout: $800.03
Potential profit: $732.02
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$26.77

No position

Will Celeste Maloy be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $6.7
Potential payout: $705.41
Potential profit: $698.71
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$68.86

Yes position

Will Jim Priest be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $50.15
Potential payout: $664.21
Potential profit: $614.06
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$13.69

Yes position

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $31.92
Potential payout: $638.31
Potential profit: $606.39
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$13.46

Yes position

Will Phil Lyman be the Republican nominee for UT-03?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $594.6
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$57.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.45

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.9

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.21

Yes position

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of June 15 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: $90

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $88.41

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.78

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.93

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.82

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.79

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.92

No position

Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.98

Yes position

Will Haiti be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $64.48

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: $62.42

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.4

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Multiplier: 19.23x
User PnL: $62.2

Yes position

Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $58.39

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

No position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?

No 8% 2,387 shares
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 2% 52.94 shares
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

Yes 7.6% 1,595.88 shares
Will Karianne Lisonbee be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Yes 6.7% 59.1 shares
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

Yes 85% 46.24 shares
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Yes 5% 59 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 4% 479.82 shares
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?

Yes 8% 31 shares
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of June 15 2026?

No 66% 100 shares
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $142.50 Week of June 15 2026?

No 90% 50 shares
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of June 15 2026?

Yes 13% 40 shares
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of June 15 2026?

No 87% 120 shares