Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.15
- Potential payout
- $63.83
- Potential profit
- $59.68
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$25.85
Polymarket Trader
PapichuloNL
0x2ceff83175d9e845d433fe93a2953e15086a0a0f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.02
- Realized PnL
- $11.19
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $18.84
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.27
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.67
Yes position
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $15.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-04?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.1
Yes position
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.73
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?Yes 79% 5.19 shares
- Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?Yes 64% 15.63 shares
- Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?Yes 67% 14.93 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-04?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?Yes 74% 27.03 shares
- ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes 0.3% 19.98 shares
- Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes 68.9% 21.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 47% 63.83 shares
- Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes 60% 16.67 shares
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes 65% 15.38 shares
- Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes 73% 41.1 shares