Polymarket Trader

bareandbroke

0x2d01fa28aea98c11eb19fc768fc8a3062c5e9725

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $134.23
Realized PnL: $189.66
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.89K
Potential profit: $12.89K
User PnL: -$205.99

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.02K
Potential profit: $4.02K
User PnL: -$66

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$31.19

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$30.6

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$91.31

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$43.12

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962.31
Potential profit: $962.31
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $55.22
Potential payout: $876.52
Potential profit: $821.3
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: $9.92

No position

World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $540
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $498.65
Potential profit: $498.65
User PnL: -$60.97

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $471.03
Potential profit: $471.03
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $49.4
Potential payout: $431.48
Potential profit: $382.07
Multiplier: 8.73x
User PnL: -$10.6

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $360.27
Potential profit: $360.27
User PnL: -$13.33

Yes position

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $25.65
Potential payout: $344.32
Potential profit: $318.67
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: $13.01

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $257.14
Potential profit: $255.09
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238
Potential profit: $238
User PnL: -$38.08

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.16
Potential profit: $208.16
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $199.89
Potential profit: $197.99
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$12.09

Yes position

Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.86
Potential profit: $192.86
User PnL: -$13.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.12

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $53.96

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 294.32 shares
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Yes 13.9% 431.48 shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 50 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Yes 6.9% 216.52 shares
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?

No 0.4% 540 shares
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 205 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 1,136.67 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 97.3% 177.89 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Yes 1.3% 6,390.98 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 13% 100 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.7% 212.77 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 9.1% 471.02 shares