Hans-Yolo

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $3.06
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Dune 3 position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $44.76
Potential profit: $36.16
Multiplier: 5.21x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $1.8
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $41.67
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $1.62
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.04
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$3.38

Yes position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.17
Potential profit: $38.17
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $33.86
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $32.47
Potential profit: $26.38
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.9%
Current value: $3.63
Potential payout: $30.67
Potential profit: $27.04
Multiplier: 8.44x
User PnL: -$1.37

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $20.52
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$2.52

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $23.57
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$5.93

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $3.66
Potential payout: $20.08
Potential profit: $16.42
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $18.99
Potential profit: $14.43
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $6.76
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $11.76
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.73
Potential profit: $17.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.68

No position

Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Heat

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Clavicular charged again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11.5m?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?