No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $335.73
- Potential payout
- $599.52
- Potential profit
- $263.79
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$46.68
Polymarket Trader
supertantrum
0x2d08ab395cc0495adacc4a73a27c8165e60d3def
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.06K
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $506
- Potential profit
- $506
- User PnL
- -$49.93
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $323.33
- Potential payout
- $465.3
- Potential profit
- $141.96
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $33.65
No position
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.7%
- Current value
- $191.65
- Potential payout
- $296.44
- Potential profit
- $104.79
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $86.45
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $211.73
- Potential payout
- $282.3
- Potential profit
- $70.58
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.82
No position
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.12
- Potential profit
- $106.12
- User PnL
- -$95.51
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.9
- Potential profit
- $104.9
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $27.03
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $876.92
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $608.84
Yes position
Will None in 2025 occur?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.35
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.6
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.61
No position
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.04
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.79
No position
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.38
No position
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.77
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$160 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will every president attend Trump’s inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Astros position
Royals vs. Astros
Ends May 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Ends May 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Knicks
Ends May 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Bills position
Bills vs. Chiefs
Ends Feb 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.86
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 41.1% 15 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 42% 95.26 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 32.7% 75 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 63% 90.74 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 30.2% 1,200 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 65.5% 78.38 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 57% 32.41 shares
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 62% 10 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 64.9% 65.8 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 76% 26.4 shares
- Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 61% 259.52 shares
- Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No 50% 90 shares