Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $263.94
- Potential payout
- $75.41K
- Potential profit
- $75.15K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$424.56
Polymarket Trader
Apple12345
0x2d1d3153136eb7a7438a6538aaf81d6b05029cb4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $683.38
- Realized PnL
- $1.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $384.13
- Potential profit
- $384.13
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $80.65
- Potential payout
- $141.12
- Potential profit
- $60.47
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$19.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $72.6
- Potential payout
- $126.26
- Potential profit
- $53.66
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $64.59
- Potential payout
- $87.88
- Potential profit
- $23.29
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.72
- Potential profit
- $87.72
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $66.4
- Potential payout
- $80.49
- Potential profit
- $14.08
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $9.62
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $67.31
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $50.31
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $12.19
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.83
- Potential profit
- $56.83
- User PnL
- -$50.01
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.79
- Potential profit
- $52.79
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $31.54
- Potential payout
- $44.12
- Potential profit
- $12.57
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $30.12
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.09
- Potential profit
- $25.09
- User PnL
- -$14.3
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $21.35
- Potential payout
- $22.04
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.1%
- Current value
- $19.17
- Potential payout
- $21.28
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $563.82
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $475.79
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.67
Yes position
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.87
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.19
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.94
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.46
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.06
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.13
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.71
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.27
Yes position
Will Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.07
No position
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.63
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 70% 71.43 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 80% 62.5 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes 83% 60.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 75% 26.67 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?No 19% 27.77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 71% 28.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 21.28 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 69% 215.81 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98.6% 52.63 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 95.4% 103.89 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No 64.1% 87.88 shares