No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.9%
- Current value
- $343.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $56.6
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$25
Polymarket Trader
kasia2983
0x2d2c5a1576aad025e7eaa63be9319a20d45b2cdd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $363.15
- Realized PnL
- $403.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $193
- User PnL
- -$63.68
No position
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.3
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.9
Yes position
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Yes position
Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27?
Ends Sep 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
Bitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.97
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Yes position
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Yes position
Solana above $185 on January 3?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42
No position
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 8?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Ethereum above $2,600 on October 4?
Ends Oct 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 12?
Ends Oct 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?No 50% 50 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 92.1% 400 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 73% 390 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.2% 292 shares
- No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes 84.9% 283.82 shares
- Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes 90% 252.96 shares
- Seahawks vs. PatriotsSeahawks 69% 205 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No 97.9% 62.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?No 98.8% 61.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?Yes 33% 193 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 12?No 99.8% 120.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 8?Yes 99.4% 0.61 shares