No position
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Polymarket Trader
pgmelissa
0x2d36cc81f19b1fd33132e653bb3e42482462cfc9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.79
- Realized PnL
- $19.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.14
- Potential profit
- $6.14
- User PnL
- -$5.4
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.91
- Potential payout
- $3.01
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.18
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Chainlink dip to $6 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 78% 2.5 shares
- Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No 96.4% 6.29 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 97.7% 6.09 shares
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?Yes 97.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No 98.5% 0.49 shares
- Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No 96.9% 6.3 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes 85% 3.53 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No 98.5% 5.77 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 88% 2.5 shares
- Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 96.6% 0.79 shares
- Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes 92% 4.76 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes 91.9% 5.11 shares