Polymarket Trader

YuXuan

0x2d39c556d151a8f7efcbf542d2d363b673e7fa04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.58K
Realized PnL: $18.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $399.58
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $538.72

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $108.74
Potential payout: $869.88
Potential profit: $761.15
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$107.25

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.41
Potential profit: $393.41
User PnL: -$161.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $6.39
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $104.72
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$3.61

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $107.14
Potential profit: $103.13
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$10.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $11.53
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $91.91
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$6.47

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $23.47
Potential payout: $102.27
Potential profit: $78.8
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $5.47

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $97.35
Potential profit: $87.37
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.58
Potential profit: $96.58
User PnL: -$25.11

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.61
Potential profit: $75.61
User PnL: -$31

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72
Potential profit: $72
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $64.14
Potential profit: $63.79
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.65

Yes position

Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $57.49
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $1.68

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$20

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-12.5)

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$30

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$20.14

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.07
Potential profit: $17.07
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $5.94
Potential payout: $11.42
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.94

Thunder position

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.58
Potential profit: $9.58
User PnL: -$2.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Bitcoin all time high before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $791.19

Yes position

Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $775.88

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.22

Pacers position

NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $678.43

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.43

Pirates position

Pirates vs. Tigers

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.96

Orioles position

Orioles vs. Yankees

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends May 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $499.3

Phillies position

Phillies vs. Braves

Ends Jul 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.4

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.72

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.38

Pacers position

Thunder vs. Pacers

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.49

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times June 27–July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $439.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $412.54

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $406.79

Cubs position

Cubs vs. Yankees

Ends Jul 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.62

No position

Will Powell say "China" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.42

Thunder position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.38

76ers position

76ers vs. Warriors

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals

Yes 41% 17.07 shares
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Yes 32% 93.75 shares
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3% 61 shares
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 64.14 shares
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9% 33.33 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15% 125 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

34.4% 16 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16% 125 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 35.71 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 41% 75.92 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26% 96.58 shares