No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $16.51K
- Potential profit
- $16.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.07K
Polymarket Trader
Gohst
0x2d4bf8f846bf68f43b9157bf30810d334ac6ca7a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.41K
- Realized PnL
- $214.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $97.4
- Potential payout
- $12.18K
- Potential profit
- $12.08K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5.62
- Potential payout
- $11.24K
- Potential profit
- $11.23K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $7.31K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $575.56
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.9K
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $7.59K
- Potential payout
- $7.85K
- Potential profit
- $258.94
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.25K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $6.87K
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $275.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.23K
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $85.33
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.42K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$930.62
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.92K
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $516.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.19K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $7.93
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.69K
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- $3.63K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Yes position
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $853.42
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$226.58
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $879.99
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $3.83K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $64.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.17K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $346.82
- Potential payout
- $3.67K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$203.69
No position
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Ends Jan 20, 2029- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $1.22K
- Potential payout
- $3.55K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $728.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $186.05
- Potential payout
- $3.05K
- Potential profit
- $2.86K
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$423.93
Yes position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $57.88
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$422.12
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.58K
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $133.1
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.66K
- Potential payout
- $2.66K
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $125.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $830.48
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $69.32
Yes position
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $105.62
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$343.83
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $493.46
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- $98.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.28K
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.98K
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.51K
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.25K
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67K
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.67K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36K
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.57K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2K
No position
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.92K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
No position
Will Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
No position
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 69% 938.56 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 91.7% 30 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 91.7% 40 shares
- Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No 87.8% 5 shares
- Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No 78.7% 25 shares
- Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No 79.1% 283.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp 1% 500 shares
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes 18% 2,874.11 shares
- Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?Yes 80% 1.25 shares
- Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes 43% 15.49 shares
- Trump re-sues WSJ by April 27?Yes 26% 12.62 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 91.6% 1.09 shares