Polymarket Trader

0x2D4f3a08777Af756fA540Daf2155A4309953c097-1777905985985

0x2d4f3a08777af756fa540daf2155a4309953c097

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.78
Realized PnL: $51.97
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.52
Potential profit: $64.52
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.78
Potential payout: $61.84
Potential profit: $59.05
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.63
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.31
Potential profit: $10.31
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $7.19
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $6.45
User PnL: -$2

Egypt position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92
Potential profit: $3.92
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $1.62
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Over position

Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Over position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.9%
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will MrBeast get married by December 31?

No 4.9% 61.84 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 2.9 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners AND Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Switzerland?

9.9% 9.6 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.7% 12.63 shares
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?

Yes 27% 18.52 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 31% 64.52 shares
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

16% 12.19 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5

Over 41% 2.44 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Egypt 51% 3.92 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

11.5% 11.49 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 20% 15 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

25.5% 11.49 shares