Polymarket Trader

R-77

0x2d62575f0f91f0c031b9168f865dd43ae37f0a41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.04
Realized PnL: $730.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $380
User PnL: -$98.03

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $148.43
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $101
User PnL: -$99.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$79.19

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.48
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$48.28

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.65
Potential profit: $79.65
User PnL: -$68.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: -$67.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.92
Potential profit: $62.92
User PnL: -$61.41

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $48.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $11.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.2

Lightning position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$30.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48
Potential profit: $48
User PnL: -$36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.35
Potential profit: $43.35
User PnL: -$26.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$39.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$36.44

No position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $26.73
Potential payout: $34.71
Potential profit: $7.98
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$29.11

Under position

Cocciaretto vs. Podrez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.84
Potential profit: $33.84
User PnL: -$28.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$21.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.39
Potential profit: $32.39
User PnL: -$29.32

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32
Potential profit: $32
User PnL: -$29.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.58
Potential profit: $31.58
User PnL: -$23.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.1
Potential profit: $29.1
User PnL: -$11.64

No position

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $22.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $2.38
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $130.88

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.82

No position

Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.88

Under position

Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 139.5

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.97

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.31

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.16

Usyk position

Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.73

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22

No position

Will Melania say "Innovation" during Security Council events on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.83

No position

Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-03-29?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.91

No position

Will Trump attend UFC 319?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.32

No position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98

Yes position

Will Melania say "Conflict" or "War" 3+ times during Security Council events on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.7

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.17

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 3 Germany?

No 95% 25 shares
Exact Score: RS Berkane 1 - 1 AS FAR?

No 99.1% 24 shares
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

No 80% 34.71 shares
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

No 83.6% 30 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 94.9% 1.81 shares
Exact Score: RS Berkane 1 - 1 AS FAR?

No 93% 24 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?

No 94% 9.99 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 88.6% 10.19 shares
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?

No 93% 13 shares
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5

Over 99.9% 13 shares
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5

Over 91% 13 shares
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 84% 21 shares