No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $4.9K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $102.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $102.5
Polymarket Trader
Nancy.Pelosi
0x2d72939b1ea4ad7c564455e5a03490b91f77cca4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.11K
- Realized PnL
- $30.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $2.54K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $465
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $495
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$75
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.86K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $140
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $820
No position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $1.19K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $39.93
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $46.07
No position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $391.59
- Potential payout
- $460.69
- Potential profit
- $69.1
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $59.89
No position
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $350.7
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $69.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $38.7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $147
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $53
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $172.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $27.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09K
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Yes position
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $931.27
No position
Iran military response before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $817.63
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $808.09
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $785.46
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $700.38
No position
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $658.08
No position
Will RFK drop out before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $598.46
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $527.99
No position
Will Pelosi say "Donald" or "Trump" 3 or more times at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $413.17
Yes position
Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $404.37
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400
No position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $387.41
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $381.84
No position
Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.3
No position
Will RFK Jr. say "Endorse" during Friday address?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.1
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 74% 391 shares
- Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No 60% 20 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 13?No 9.5% 460 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 6.5% 3,822.81 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No 60% 480 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No 54% 130 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 62% 17.59 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 38.7% 910.95 shares
- Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?No 83% 3.57 shares
- Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?Yes 99% 360.62 shares
- Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No 62.3% 390.34 shares
- Will Trump comment on New Jersey drones by Sunday?Yes 86% 261.91 shares