No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $373.81
- Potential payout
- $404.12
- Potential profit
- $30.31
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $26.6
Polymarket Trader
0x2d75...4e46
0x2d7544d2f363676c8fcb43c97f4c136ae4ed4e46
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $166.59
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $268.41
- Potential payout
- $281.79
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $9.58
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $80.19
- Potential payout
- $87.16
- Potential profit
- $6.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $16.22
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $47.21
- Potential payout
- $49.36
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $35.12
- Potential payout
- $48.44
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $7.91
- Potential payout
- $47.94
- Potential profit
- $40.03
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$32.07
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $40.31
- Potential payout
- $43.34
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.3%
- Current value
- $21.57
- Potential payout
- $29.43
- Potential profit
- $7.86
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $27.67
- Potential payout
- $29.29
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $26.25
- Potential payout
- $29.27
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $23.86
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.46
- Potential payout
- $23.03
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $16.4
- Potential payout
- $19.22
- Potential profit
- $2.82
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $14.25
- Potential payout
- $18.5
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $15.39
- Potential profit
- $5.39
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $12.23
- Potential payout
- $12.81
- Potential profit
- $0.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.29
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $12.51
- Potential profit
- $7.7
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $7.9
- Potential payout
- $10.74
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $9.65
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $8.18
- Potential payout
- $9.24
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.77
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.97
No position
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.06
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $20.73
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.84
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.02
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$13.17
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.8
No position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.94
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 156.74 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No 99% 101.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.1% 47.59 shares
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82% 9.65 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 39% 12.51 shares
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 74% 10.74 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 9.24 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 51% 15.39 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 86% 18.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 68% 11.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 65% 36.74 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?No 93.1% 197.83 shares