Polymarket Trader

jeopardyjugs

0x2d759ed1198d04ce81c98b77f182c4d273c8a5c3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.22K
Realized PnL: $56.71
Win rate: 38.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $510.6
Potential payout: $510.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $476.91

Yes position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $8.56
Potential payout: $372.01
Potential profit: $363.45
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$75.28

Yes position

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $78.02
Potential payout: $226.21
Potential profit: $148.19
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $24.41

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.5
Potential profit: $210.5
User PnL: -$105.25

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $117.6

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $149.19
Potential payout: $197.6
Potential profit: $48.41
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $28.95

Yes position

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $34.03
Potential payout: $189.06
Potential profit: $155.03
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$71.84

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.3
Potential profit: $183.3
User PnL: -$78.82

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $12.95
Potential payout: $171.5
Potential profit: $158.55
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.3
Potential profit: $123.3
User PnL: -$66.58

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.96
Potential profit: $113.96
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $78.42
Potential payout: $103.87
Potential profit: $25.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $30.64

Yes position

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $103.8
Potential profit: $91.86
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$22.32

No position

Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $68.47
Potential payout: $97.82
Potential profit: $29.35
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $43.59

No position

Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $63.26
Potential payout: $67.3
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $29.61

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $3.72
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $42.98

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.81

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

No position

Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 48% 8.63 shares
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

No 73.6% 210.5 shares
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No 32.9% 71.08 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 22% 5 shares
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?

Yes 15% 20.6 shares
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Yes 27% 20.6 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 15.4% 23.54 shares
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

No 47% 5.5 shares
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Yes 49% 4.1 shares
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?

Yes 60% 2.9 shares
Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 7% 20.6 shares
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 46% 140 shares