Polymarket Trader

hkvfdxz

0x2d7ebebf19b359a0e77816c147bbde54233bbf2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.19K
Realized PnL: -$1.27K
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $372
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $36

No position

US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $358.34
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $197.95
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $172.05
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $259.05
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $40.95
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $4.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

ALMO Players position

LoL: ALMO Players vs WLGaming Esports (BO2) - HLL Regular Season

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $791.91

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Down position

XRP Up or Down on January 22?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$318

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$960

Yes position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.03K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 14% 2,400 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 84.8% 300 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 55% 370 shares