Polymarket Trader

0x2d7f...969d

0x2d7fce01ff345e418c9acf64275130e56d12969d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $37.7
Realized PnL: $87.94
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.77
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $5.38
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $5.97
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $5.32
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $4.03
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $4.11
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $3.48
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.52
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.09
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.86
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $1.31
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.74

No position

Will Lu Dort be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Under position

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.53

Under position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 93% 5.9 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 41.2% 3.05 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 3.56 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5

Under 22.5% 4.44 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 46% 2.17 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-11?

No 48% 3.04 shares
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 MedTech revenue be above $8.9B?

No 35% 7.4 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

No 41% 3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 34.7% 7.58 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 63% 3 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 71.9% 6.09 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Under 32% 3.13 shares