Polymarket Trader

yarenshan

0x2d8d5e251757e3130839793ffd8fe65f2e1cf8a2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $103.35
Realized PnL: $342.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $103.35
Potential payout: $208.57
Potential profit: $105.22
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $101.89

Yes position

Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $207.06
Potential profit: $207.06
User PnL: -$3.52

No position

CZ mindshare all time high by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.81
Potential profit: $182.81
User PnL: -$181.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.89
Potential profit: $171.89
User PnL: -$6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.05
Potential profit: $139.05
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138
Potential profit: $138
User PnL: -$1.79

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.42
Potential profit: $127.42
User PnL: -$2.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.06
Potential profit: $108.06
User PnL: -$3.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.5
Potential profit: $102.5
User PnL: -$1.54

Down position

Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.17
Potential profit: $98.17
User PnL: -$2.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.06
Potential profit: $97.06
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.17
Potential profit: $94.17
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.05
Potential profit: $88.05
User PnL: -$85.23

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on January 26?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.24
Potential profit: $73.24
User PnL: -$2.71

No position

Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.77
Potential profit: $70.77
User PnL: -$65.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.93
Potential profit: $59.93
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.5
Potential profit: $54.5
User PnL: -$3.27

Colorado Buffaloes position

Colorado Buffaloes vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.17
Potential profit: $54.17
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$1.83

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.76
Potential profit: $52.76
User PnL: -$2.11

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.71
Potential profit: $45.71
User PnL: -$3.2

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.17
Potential profit: $45.17
User PnL: -$2.71

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.57
Potential profit: $44.57
User PnL: -$2.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.46

IU Indy Jaguars position

IU Indy Jaguars vs. Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110k November 3-9?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.44

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.36

Up position

DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 12?

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.40 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 2 above $5.00?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

East Tennessee State Buccaneers position

The Citadel Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors position

Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will the price of XRP be above $2.50 on November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

No position

Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $9B by June 30?

Yes 0.7% 208.57 shares
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 30?

No 6% 45.17 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?

No 7% 45.71 shares
Solana Up or Down on April 6?

Down 8% 24.62 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 29?

Yes 5% 44.55 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 26?

Yes 0.6% 214.9 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Down 1.6% 127.41 shares
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?

Yes 1.8% 19.4 shares
Will Andrew Tate post 160-189 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 138 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 6?

Yes 3.3% 56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?

Yes 1.5% 102.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?

Yes 11% 23.5 shares