No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
Aptx44869
0x2d8e2373c3915c53043da2df788c480a176c632b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $593
- Realized PnL
- -$802.52
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $428
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $7.57K
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$92
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.84K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$98.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $529.52
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $189
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.1
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.55
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.52
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$239.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.5% 8,000 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 14.4% 5,271.56 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 19% 5,271.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 7% 3,499.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 10.9% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 54% 61.39 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No 32.7% 75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 52% 61.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 47% 5,880.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58% 4,199 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 65% 2,000 shares