Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.75
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
0x2d95...c1f4
0x2d95ff2e3d6000805009e089d8240701f1f6c1f4
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $77.55
- Realized PnL
- $191.34
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $4.52
- Potential payout
- $60.25
- Potential profit
- $55.74
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$13.78
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $35
- Potential payout
- $38.05
- Potential profit
- $3.04
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $30.96
- Potential profit
- $7.59
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $20.48
- Potential profit
- $19.26
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $18.42
- Potential profit
- $18.36
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.67
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $8.13
- Potential payout
- $14.15
- Potential profit
- $6.01
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $11.98
- Potential profit
- $11.13
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $7.02
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.33
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.76
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 62% 14.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 87% 10.36 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.8% 7.02 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.1% 7.7 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.6% 11.98 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.7% 13.09 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.4% 20.48 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes 67.5% 10.37 shares
- Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 29.9% 6.76 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 25% 21.76 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 22.2% 14.89 shares
- Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?Yes 42.5% 20.01 shares