Polymarket Trader

chadefe

0x2d981daa7e927a797cae37afedf9247442c4b354

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $50.78
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.7
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $17.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $2.8
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 39.7%
Current value: $7.94
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.06
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $16.87
Potential profit: $6.07
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?

Ends Jan 18, 2027

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $11.02
Potential profit: $9.47
Multiplier: 7.10x
User PnL: -$2.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $2.55
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $0.99
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Polymarket update

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