Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $221.46K
- Potential payout
- $221.79K
- Potential profit
- $332.68
- User PnL
- $28.22K
Polymarket Trader
scout
@scout_pmkt
0x2d99e29c4f066ba32098c65e4c7454b277d94ca3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $342.09K
- Realized PnL
- $143.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $40.16K
- Potential payout
- $40.18K
- Potential profit
- $20.09
- User PnL
- $5.49K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24.99K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- $3.24K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.24K
- Potential payout
- $9.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- User PnL
- $457.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.96K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.12K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98K
Yes position
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89K
Yes position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71K
Yes position
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84K
Yes position
Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will ETH hard fork before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76K
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 8,612.93 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.3% 9,208.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 79.7% 10,011.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.6% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 82.8% 20,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,678.65 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes 99.8% 5,020 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes 99.6% 1,110.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 8,472.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.9% 26,228.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 87% 2,183.24 shares