Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $58.54
- Potential payout
- $291.26
- Potential profit
- $232.72
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Polymarket Trader
longwi
0x2da34502a348d57484c14924ba9e02b3daa7449e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $209.22
- Realized PnL
- $60.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $140.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $25.83
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.55
- Potential profit
- $16.55
- User PnL
- -$6.79
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $10.89
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.01
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.38
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.96
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 20.6% 291.26 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 91.8% 10.89 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 166.67 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $90 on July 3?No 99.9% 50.05 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?No 99.6% 130.54 shares
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes 11% 9.09 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 96.4% 319.83 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 319.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 19?Yes 97.6% 7.17 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?Yes 96% 1.04 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 19?Yes 95.8% 2.09 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?Yes 96.9% 2.06 shares