Yes position
Will Olivia Rodrigo be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $10.84
- Potential payout
- $44.23
- Potential profit
- $33.39
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $7.84
Polymarket Trader
Drawax
0x2db284ac041be01b98c903dcb2a77fbd2b3e8073
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.27
- Realized PnL
- $31.44
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $20.63
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.37
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 6 straight weeks?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 7 straight weeks?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Yes position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 5 straight weeks?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 45?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 4 straight weeks?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?Yes 49% 4.08 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 15% 8.69 shares
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 1.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 1.5% 133.33 shares
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 3.8% 103.97 shares
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes 5.5% 44.44 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?Yes 27% 3.7 shares
- Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes 82% 7.32 shares