Y
Yes position
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $30.56
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$36.43
Polymarket Trader
0x2Db7211fBD60A7CeFC804eaB39a250Db46828f9b-1772535030056
0x2db7211fbd60a7cefc804eab39a250db46828f9b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.34K
- Realized PnL
- $2.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $335.12
- Potential payout
- $558.54
- Potential profit
- $223.42
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $170.12
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $289.35
- Potential payout
- $428.67
- Potential profit
- $139.32
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$41.65
N
No position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $351.09
- Potential payout
- $405.88
- Potential profit
- $54.79
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $74.59
N
No position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $334.93
- Potential payout
- $335.77
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- $34.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $737.87
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $290.85
No position
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.91
Yes position
Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.08
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $235.79
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $209.8
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.92
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.52
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.25
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.48
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.97
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $49.5
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 32-35 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.57
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.14
No position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 59-61 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.91
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.72
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.31
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.84
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.77
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.49
Y
Yes position
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $31.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 2.8% 71.29 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 70% 8.57 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes 0.1% 135.31 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 50% 10 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 28.8% 226.03 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 50% 20 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 50% 20 shares
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes 30.3% 66.03 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 3.4% 354.84 shares
- Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 63% 15.87 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 22% 433.34 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 58% 528.88 shares