Polymarket Trader

mevvru3

0x2dbcf2adff45e3e0305d1971ab7487feb2afc686

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $191.42
Realized PnL: $403.71
Win rate: 73.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or higher on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.05
Potential profit: $416.05
User PnL: -$131

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.62
Potential profit: $314.62
User PnL: -$206

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268.42
Potential profit: $268.42
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $96.59
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $130.68
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.67
Potential profit: $196.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gold Medal" or "Gold Medallist" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.37
Potential profit: $146.37
User PnL: -$98

No position

ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $133.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.33
Potential profit: $124.33
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.71
Potential profit: $121.71
User PnL: -$100

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.86
Potential profit: $117.86
User PnL: -$99

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $94.83
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $20.11
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.09
Potential profit: $84.09
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.51
Potential profit: $79.51
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.82
Potential profit: $77.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.92
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.83
Potential profit: $63.83
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.38

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.63

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.73

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.3

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.69

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

No position

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

No position

Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.74

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 44% 227.27 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 114.94 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 47% 63.83 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 57.7% 86.73 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 59.5% 84.09 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 46% 65.22 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 54.69 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 49% 61.22 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 175.55 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Yes 0.2% 12.82 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?

Yes 0.5% 22.72 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Yes 0.6% 35.71 shares